Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 23.008706 26.637960 30.585757 35.190185 40.403775 46.114504 52.833731
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.280020 21.092718 26.855953 34.223741 43.345843 54.219210 68.106196
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.690741 17.986700 24.827778 34.216616 46.655804 62.446178 83.860987
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.398044 15.900714 23.474695 34.496219 49.924967 70.522935 99.816555
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.078530 13.269916 20.851435 32.494928 49.630244 73.565271 109.071065
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.105286 12.400263 20.527449 33.580070 53.593787 82.595461 127.102345
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.485389 11.952438 20.724875 35.382191 58.678398 93.530091 148.600933
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.459357 10.651552 19.376136 34.558478 59.588513 98.259585 161.184043
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.484942 9.266267 17.678671 32.917819 58.957661 100.466559 169.945563
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.260964 9.207456 18.227548 35.081729 64.681317 112.998641 195.619116
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.201801 9.448846 19.324360 38.285368 72.389813 129.218296 228.198341
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.774508 8.888562 18.870257 38.639456 75.174253 137.482537 248.274267
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.258645 8.091644 17.924836 38.097122 76.530348 143.799194 266.192421
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.755180 7.235552 16.756980 37.016880 76.848882 148.442859 281.789871
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.423567 6.703799 16.171691 37.000753 79.132923 156.692050 304.205055
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.163183 6.289183 15.771045 37.298873 82.022365 166.207286 329.464318
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.765572 5.447211 14.298676 35.152236 79.842222 166.161354 337.344065
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.638718 5.286313 14.356039 36.316057 84.463206 179.226789 370.235338
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.568149 5.265851 14.741287 38.248321 90.837730 196.073883 411.236631
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.353152 4.787969 13.939789 37.365207 91.141352 201.044452 429.844679
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.127493 4.223669 12.828599 35.605768 89.350749 201.670512 439.999154
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.105741 4.291214 13.377180 37.926207 96.828032 221.599461 489.407069
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.126468 4.501489 14.336300 41.359652 107.089513 247.865463 552.857314